Climate experts speculate as to why global atmospheric temperatures have
slowed their increases in the last decade and a half, and now a new study
suggests that aerosols released from small volcanic eruptions may play a role.
by John
Tyburski
Copyright © Daily
Digest News, KPR Media, LLC. All rights reserved.
There is
no question that the public discussions of and, some might say, the hype
surrounding global warming has steadily increased. One conundrum confronting
proponents of manmade climate change, however, is that the rate at which atmospheric
temperatures are increasing has slowed since the year 2000, something experts
call the “global warming pause.” So-called greenhouse gases have continued to
accumulate, however.
A new study
published in the October 31 issue of Geophysical Research Letters
suggests that small volcanic eruptions may have released enough material into
the atmosphere to slow the increase in temperatures. Up to this point, such
volcanic events were not considered; the particles released generally cluster
below the level of detection by climate-monitoring satellites.
According
to the authors of the report, led by MIT’s David Ridley, satellite assessments
were missing about 30 percent of the particulate matter shot out of volcanoes,
emissions the scientists are calling aerosols. The aerosols contain sulfur
dioxide that once in the stratosphere, cool the Earth by blocking some of sun’s
radiation from reaching the inner atmosphere.
The total
aerosol impact for the globe, when included in a simple climate model, yields a
predicted cooling effect of 0.09 to 0.22 degrees Fahrenheit since 2000. Even
this impact is not large enough to completely explain the global warming pause.
However, Ridley and others do believe the volcanic aerosols play a part in a
multifactorial explanation.
“This
doesn’t necessarily mean that every eruption will be able to get sulfur dioxide
into the stratosphere and form aerosols, but they are just neglected entirely
in the climate models from the [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change],”
said Ridley. “The fine nuances make quite a big difference in these eruptions.”
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